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28 Sep · 11:50 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
ASArtur Sobel
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1646
0-3Final setsCzerwinski won
BCBartosz Czerwinski
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1556
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sobel at 52%. The actual result was Bartosz Czerwinski 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Sobel favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 74.5
53 points played
Under
Set handicap
Sobel −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Sobel −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Artur Sobel is favoured to win, below means Bartosz Czerwinski.

▲ Artur Sobelpre 56% → final 5%
Bartosz Czerwinski ▼
Biggest swing 55 ptsCzerwinski recovered from 44%52 points · 3 games