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28 Sep · 12:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
RNRafal Niemiec
🇵🇱Rafal Niemiec
ELO 1519
3-0Final setsNiemiec won
YFYurij Fomin
🇵🇱Yurij Fomin
ELO 1415
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Niemiec at 60%. The actual result was Rafal Niemiec 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Niemiec favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 74.5
47 points played
Under
Set handicap
Niemiec −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Niemiec −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
5.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Niemiec is favoured to win, below means Yurij Fomin.

▲ Rafal Niemiecpre 64% → final 92%
Yurij Fomin ▼
Biggest swing 57 ptsNiemiec recovered from 35%69 points · 4 games