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28 Sep · 12:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MRMateusz Rutkowski
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1655
3-1Final setsRutkowski won
KKKrystian Kolodziej
🇵🇱Krystian Kolodziej
ELO 1732
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kolodziej at 71%. The actual result was Mateusz Rutkowski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kolodziej favoured — closing 1.2
Upset
Total 69.5
67 points played
Under
Set handicap
Kolodziej −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Kolodziej −9.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
9.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Rutkowski is favoured to win, below means Krystian Kolodziej.

▲ Mateusz Rutkowskipre 30% → final 99%
Krystian Kolodziej ▼
Biggest swing 71 ptsRutkowski recovered from 28%66 points · 4 games