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28 Sep · 14:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BCBartosz Czerwinski
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1551
3-2Final setsCzerwinski won
MMMichal Minda
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1431
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Czerwinski at 60%. The actual result was Bartosz Czerwinski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Bartosz Czerwinski favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 75.5
108 points played
Over
Set handicap
Bartosz Czerwinski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Bartosz Czerwinski −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.55
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartosz Czerwinski is favoured to win, below means Michal Minda.

▲ Bartosz Czerwinskipre 64% → final 79%
Michal Minda ▼
Biggest swing 67 ptsCzerwinski recovered from 12%72 points · 5 games