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28 Sep · 15:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
GWGrzegorz Wichowski
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1591
1-3Final setsNiemiec won
RNRafal Niemiec
🇵🇱Rafal Niemiec
ELO 1533
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wichowski at 65%. The actual result was Rafal Niemiec 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Wichowski favoured — closing 1.55
Upset
Set handicap
Grzegorz Wichowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Grzegorz Wichowski −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Wichowski is favoured to win, below means Rafal Niemiec.

▲ Grzegorz Wichowskipre 70% → final 93%
Rafal Niemiec ▼
Biggest swing 35 pts68 points · 4 games