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28 Sep · 15:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PSPawel Slosarczyk
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1386
1-3Final setsTobiasz won
WTWojciech Tobiasz
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1382
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tobiasz at 57%. The actual result was Wojciech Tobiasz 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Wojciech Tobiasz favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 74.5
85 points played
Over
Set handicap
Wojciech Tobiasz −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Wojciech Tobiasz −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Slosarczyk is favoured to win, below means Wojciech Tobiasz.

▲ Pawel Slosarczykpre 46% → final 88%
Wojciech Tobiasz ▼
Biggest swing 53 ptsSlosarczyk recovered from 42%72 points · 4 games