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28 Sep · 16:28 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JNJakub Nadolny
🇵🇱Jakub Nadolny
ELO 1498
3-2Final setsNadolny won
BKBartosz Kwodawski
🇵🇱Bartosz Kwodawski
ELO 1345
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Nadolny at 66%. The actual result was Jakub Nadolny 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Nadolny favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 76.5
108 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jakub Nadolny −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jakub Nadolny −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Nadolny is favoured to win, below means Bartosz Kwodawski.

▲ Jakub Nadolnypre 71% → final 96%
Bartosz Kwodawski ▼
Biggest swing 53 pts72 points · 5 games