28 Sept · 18:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1235
FormLLLLL
84%Win chancemodel fair 1.19Zelezik
JZ
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1606
FormWWWWL
16%
84%
Fair odds · Zelezik
Model 84% · 1.19vsMarket 85% · 1.18· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 71%Total ~72 pts
0-3
42%
1-3
29%
2-3
13%
3-2
8%
3-1
6%
Elo Gap+371
H2H8-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+371)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-1)