Bartlomiej Mrugala vs Marcin Kowalczyk — TT Elite Series

← TT Elite Series predictions

28 Sep · 16:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala

ELO 1364

1-3Final setsKowalczyk won

🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk

ELO 1345

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mrugala at 54%. The actual result was Marcin Kowalczyk 1-3 — the underdog won.

Bartlomiej Mrugala — profile →Marcin Kowalczyk — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Marcin Kowalczyk favoured — closing 1.8

Favourite won

Total 74.5

69 points played

Under

Set handicap

Marcin Kowalczyk −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Marcin Kowalczyk −0.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Mrugala is favoured to win, below means Marcin Kowalczyk.

▲ Bartlomiej Mrugalapre 58% → final 5%

Marcin Kowalczyk ▼

Biggest swing 53 ptsKowalczyk recovered from 42%68 points · 4 games