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28 Sep · 18:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MSMichal Skorski
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1350
3-0Final setsSkorski won
BMBartlomiej Mrugala
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala
ELO 1363
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mrugala at 56%. The actual result was Michal Skorski 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Bartlomiej Mrugala favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Set handicap
Bartlomiej Mrugala −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Bartlomiej Mrugala −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
7.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Skorski is favoured to win, below means Bartlomiej Mrugala.

▲ Michal Skorskipre 40% → final 100%
Bartlomiej Mrugala ▼
Biggest swing 68 ptsSkorski recovered from 32%52 points · 3 games