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28 Sep · 18:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JPJakub Pruszkowski
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1599
3-0Final setsPruszkowski won
LOLukasz Oracz
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1497
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pruszkowski at 57%. The actual result was Jakub Pruszkowski 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Pruszkowski favoured — closing 1.47
Favourite won
Set handicap
Jakub Pruszkowski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Jakub Pruszkowski −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
4.45
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Pruszkowski is favoured to win, below means Lukasz Oracz.

▲ Jakub Pruszkowskipre 61% → final 99%
Lukasz Oracz ▼
Biggest swing 52 pts61 points · 3 games