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28 Sep · 19:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MAMariusz Adamus
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1473
3-2Final setsAdamus won
OSOliwier Sokolowski
🇵🇱Oliwier Sokolowski
ELO 1430
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Adamus at 52%. The actual result was Mariusz Adamus 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Oliwier Sokolowski favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Set handicap
Oliwier Sokolowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Oliwier Sokolowski −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Adamus is favoured to win, below means Oliwier Sokolowski.

▲ Mariusz Adamuspre 56% → final 90%
Oliwier Sokolowski ▼
Biggest swing 82 ptsAdamus recovered from 8%72 points · 5 games