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28 Sep · 20:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BMBartlomiej Mrugala
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala
ELO 1357
3-0Final setsMrugala won
WIWojciech Iwasyszyn
🇵🇱Wojciech Iwasyszyn
ELO 1364
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mrugala at 51%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Mrugala 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Wojciech Iwasyszyn favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 75.5
60 points played
Under
Set handicap
Wojciech Iwasyszyn −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Wojciech Iwasyszyn −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Mrugala is favoured to win, below means Wojciech Iwasyszyn.

▲ Bartlomiej Mrugalapre 55% → final 100%
Wojciech Iwasyszyn ▼
Biggest swing 66 ptsMrugala recovered from 34%59 points · 3 games