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28 Sep · 20:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PGPiotr Gesiarz
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1463
2-3Final setsZelezik won
JZJacek Zelezik
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1620
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zelezik at 59%. The actual result was Jacek Zelezik 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jacek Zelezik favoured — closing 1.57
Favourite won
Total 74.5
115 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jacek Zelezik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jacek Zelezik −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Piotr Gesiarz is favoured to win, below means Jacek Zelezik.

▲ Piotr Gesiarzpre 37% → final 9%
Jacek Zelezik ▼
Biggest swing 48 pts72 points · 4 games