29 Sept · 01:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BK
🇵🇱Bartosz Kwodawski
ELO 1332
FormLLLLL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Nadolny
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nadolny
ELO 1508
FormWLWLL
31%
69%
Fair odds · Nadolny
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~75 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+176
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+176)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)