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28 Sep · 21:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MTMateusz Trela
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1387
3-2Final setsTrela won
MSMichal Skorski
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1354
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Trela at 50%. The actual result was Mateusz Trela 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mateusz Trela favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 79.5
90 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mateusz Trela −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mateusz Trela −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Trela is favoured to win, below means Michal Skorski.

▲ Mateusz Trelapre 46% → final 86%
Michal Skorski ▼
Biggest swing 55 ptsTrela recovered from 43%71 points · 4 games