Mateusz Trela vs Bartlomiej Mrugala — TT Elite Series

← TT Elite Series predictions

28 Sep · 21:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Mateusz Trela

ELO 1404

3-1Final setsTrela won

🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala

ELO 1342

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Trela at 53%. The actual result was Mateusz Trela 3-1 — the pick was correct.

Mateusz Trela — profile →Bartlomiej Mrugala — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Bartlomiej Mrugala favoured — closing 1.75

Upset

Total 76.5

94 points played

Over

Set handicap

Bartlomiej Mrugala −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Bartlomiej Mrugala −0.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

4.5

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Trela is favoured to win, below means Bartlomiej Mrugala.

▲ Mateusz Trelapre 57% → final 5%

Bartlomiej Mrugala ▼

Biggest swing 52 ptsMrugala recovered from 43%57 points · 3 games