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28 Sep · 23:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MTMateusz Trela
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1398
3-1Final setsTrela won
MKMarcin Kowalczyk
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1342
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Trela at 55%. The actual result was Mateusz Trela 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mateusz Trela favoured — closing 1.47
Favourite won
Total 74.5
77 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mateusz Trela −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Mateusz Trela −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.15
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Trela is favoured to win, below means Marcin Kowalczyk.

▲ Mateusz Trelapre 52% → final 91%
Marcin Kowalczyk ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsTrela recovered from 35%72 points · 4 games