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28 Sep · 23:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JPJakub Pruszkowski
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1584
2-3Final setsAdamus won
KAKacper Adamus
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1532
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pruszkowski at 58%. The actual result was Kacper Adamus 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Pruszkowski favoured — closing 1.52
Upset
Total 76.5
122 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jakub Pruszkowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jakub Pruszkowski −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Pruszkowski is favoured to win, below means Kacper Adamus.

▲ Jakub Pruszkowskipre 55% → final 6%
Kacper Adamus ▼
Biggest swing 55 pts57 points · 3 games