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28 Sep · 23:50 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
LOLukasz Oracz
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1516
3-2Final setsOracz won
KAKacper Adamus
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1532
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Adamus at 56%. The actual result was Lukasz Oracz 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kacper Adamus favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 74.5
99 points played
Over
Set handicap
Kacper Adamus −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Kacper Adamus −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Lukasz Oracz is favoured to win, below means Kacper Adamus.

▲ Lukasz Oraczpre 47% → final 94%
Kacper Adamus ▼
Biggest swing 58 ptsOracz recovered from 40%63 points · 3 games