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29 Sep · 00:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BMBartlomiej Mrugala
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala
ELO 1342
2-3Final setsSkorski won
MSMichal Skorski
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1377
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skorski at 52%. The actual result was Michal Skorski 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Bartlomiej Mrugala favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 75.5
90 points played
Over
Set handicap
Bartlomiej Mrugala −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Bartlomiej Mrugala −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Mrugala is favoured to win, below means Michal Skorski.

▲ Bartlomiej Mrugalapre 51% → final 2%
Michal Skorski ▼
Biggest swing 58 ptsSkorski recovered from 41%72 points · 5 games