29 Sept · 03:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1384
FormWWWLL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Zelezik
JZ
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1625
FormWWLWW
26%
74%
Fair odds · Zelezik
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 78% · 1.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~76 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+241
H2H28-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+241)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-1)