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29 Sep · 02:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MMMichal Machelski
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1411
3-0Final setsMachelski won
JZJacek Zelezik
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1613
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zelezik at 74%. The actual result was Michal Machelski 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jacek Zelezik favoured — closing 1.3
Upset
Total 71.5
67 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jacek Zelezik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jacek Zelezik −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
17
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Machelski is favoured to win, below means Jacek Zelezik.

▲ Michal Machelskipre 21% → final 75%
Jacek Zelezik ▼
Biggest swing 63 ptsMachelski recovered from 13%66 points · 3 games