29 Sept · 05:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1537
FormWLLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Adamus
OS
🇵🇱Oliwier Sokolowski
ELO 1456
FormWLWWL
59%
41%
🌟Sokolowski covers set handicap as underdog 68% (124)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+81
H2H13-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-2)