29 Sept · 06:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Maksymilian Miastowski
ELO 1765
FormWWWLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Miastowski
KW
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1592
FormLLWWL
68%
32%
Fair odds · Miastowski
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+173
H2H28-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+173)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-18)