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29 Sep · 05:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
ARAdam Ruszkiewicz
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1480
3-0Final setsRuszkiewicz won
JKJakub Kaczmarek
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1425
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Ruszkiewicz at 54%. The actual result was Adam Ruszkiewicz 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Adam Ruszkiewicz favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Total 75.5
55 points played
Under
Set handicap
Adam Ruszkiewicz −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Adam Ruszkiewicz −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
5.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Adam Ruszkiewicz is favoured to win, below means Jakub Kaczmarek.

▲ Adam Ruszkiewiczpre 58% → final 98%
Jakub Kaczmarek ▼
Biggest swing 44 pts54 points · 3 games