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29 Sep · 04:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MKMaciej Kolek
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1616
3-1Final setsKolek won
KWKrzysztof Wloczko
🇵🇱Krzysztof Wloczko
ELO 1744
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wloczko at 65%. The actual result was Maciej Kolek 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Wloczko favoured — closing 1.32
Upset
Total 73.5
71 points played
Under
Set handicap
Wloczko −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Wloczko −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
7.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maciej Kolek is favoured to win, below means Krzysztof Wloczko.

▲ Maciej Kolekpre 37% → final 98%
Krzysztof Wloczko ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsKolek recovered from 37%69 points · 4 games