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29 Sep · 04:50 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MLMarian Lebek
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1563
3-1Final setsLebek won
JKJakub Kaczmarek
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1425
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lebek at 63%. The actual result was Marian Lebek 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marian Lebek favoured — closing 1.35
Favourite won
Total 73.5
72 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marian Lebek −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Marian Lebek −6.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
2.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marian Lebek is favoured to win, below means Jakub Kaczmarek.

▲ Marian Lebekpre 67% → final 97%
Jakub Kaczmarek ▼
Biggest swing 36 pts70 points · 4 games