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29 Sep · 04:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MMMichal Minda
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1474
3-2Final setsMinda won
BCBartosz Czerwinski
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1558
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Czerwinski at 63%. The actual result was Michal Minda 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Bartosz Czerwinski favoured — closing 1.52
Upset
Total 74.5
97 points played
Over
Set handicap
Bartosz Czerwinski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Bartosz Czerwinski −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Minda is favoured to win, below means Bartosz Czerwinski.

▲ Michal Mindapre 33% → final 100%
Bartosz Czerwinski ▼
Biggest swing 94 ptsMinda recovered from 6%72 points · 5 games