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29 Sep · 06:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MLMarian Lebek
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1568
3-2Final setsLebek won
KHKrzysztof Hetnar
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1596
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Hetnar at 53%. The actual result was Marian Lebek 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Krzysztof Hetnar favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 73.5
88 points played
Over
Set handicap
Krzysztof Hetnar −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Krzysztof Hetnar −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marian Lebek is favoured to win, below means Krzysztof Hetnar.

▲ Marian Lebekpre 50% → final 76%
Krzysztof Hetnar ▼
Biggest swing 63 ptsLebek recovered from 32%72 points · 5 games