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DeuceLab
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29 Sep · 07:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MSMateusz Sikon
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1522
3-1Final setsSikon won
MLMarian Lebek
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1568
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lebek at 62%. The actual result was Mateusz Sikon 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marian Lebek favoured — closing 1.45
Upset
Total 73.5
87 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marian Lebek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marian Lebek −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Sikon is favoured to win, below means Marian Lebek.

▲ Mateusz Sikonpre 40% → final 94%
Marian Lebek ▼
Biggest swing 67 ptsSikon recovered from 33%72 points · 4 games