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DeuceLab
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29 Sep · 07:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KWKarol Wisniewski
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1587
3-1Final setsWisniewski won
MKMaciej Kolek
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1614
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kolek at 54%. The actual result was Karol Wisniewski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Maciej Kolek favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 74.5
70 points played
Under
Set handicap
Maciej Kolek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Maciej Kolek −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Karol Wisniewski is favoured to win, below means Maciej Kolek.

▲ Karol Wisniewskipre 42% → final 98%
Maciej Kolek ▼
Biggest swing 60 ptsWisniewski recovered from 38%69 points · 4 games