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29 Sep · 08:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1677
3-2Final setsPoliniewicz won
KWKrzysztof Wloczko
🇵🇱Krzysztof Wloczko
ELO 1745
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wloczko at 59%. The actual result was Grzegorz Poliniewicz 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Krzysztof Wloczko favoured — closing 1.55
Upset
Total 78.5
99 points played
Over
Set handicap
Krzysztof Wloczko −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Krzysztof Wloczko −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Poliniewicz is favoured to win, below means Krzysztof Wloczko.

▲ Grzegorz Poliniewiczpre 44% → final 75%
Krzysztof Wloczko ▼
Biggest swing 60 ptsPoliniewicz recovered from 35%72 points · 5 games