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29 Sep · 08:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MSMateusz Sikon
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1522
3-0Final setsSikon won
KHKrzysztof Hetnar
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1596
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Hetnar at 60%. The actual result was Mateusz Sikon 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Krzysztof Hetnar favoured — closing 1.42
Upset
Total 72.5
58 points played
Under
Set handicap
Krzysztof Hetnar −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Krzysztof Hetnar −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
12
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Sikon is favoured to win, below means Krzysztof Hetnar.

▲ Mateusz Sikonpre 43% → final 93%
Krzysztof Hetnar ▼
Biggest swing 63 ptsSikon recovered from 34%57 points · 3 games