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29 Sep · 09:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MKMaciej Kolek
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1614
3-1Final setsKolek won
MMMichal Minda
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1474
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kolek at 64%. The actual result was Maciej Kolek 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Maciej Kolek favoured — closing 1.45
Favourite won
Total 74.5
73 points played
Under
Set handicap
Maciej Kolek −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Maciej Kolek −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maciej Kolek is favoured to win, below means Michal Minda.

▲ Maciej Kolekpre 62% → final 99%
Michal Minda ▼
Biggest swing 49 pts72 points · 4 games