29 Sept · 11:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AS
🇵🇱Adrian Spychala
ELO 1631
FormWWLWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Sklensky
MS
🇵🇱Miroslav Sklensky
ELO 1720
FormWLWLW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Sklensky
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 72% · 1.40· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+89
H2H53-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (53-25)