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30 Sep · 04:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
AWAdrian Wiecek
🇵🇱Adrian Wiecek
ELO 1818
0-3Final setsWloczko won
KWKrzysztof Wloczko
🇵🇱Krzysztof Wloczko
ELO 1733
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wiecek at 57%. The actual result was Krzysztof Wloczko 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Adrian Wiecek favoured — closing 1.47
Upset
Total 76.5
58 points played
Under
Set handicap
Adrian Wiecek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Adrian Wiecek −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Adrian Wiecek is favoured to win, below means Krzysztof Wloczko.

▲ Adrian Wiecekpre 54% → final 6%
Krzysztof Wloczko ▼
Biggest swing 51 pts57 points · 3 games