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30 Sep · 07:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KWKrzysztof Wloczko
🇵🇱Krzysztof Wloczko
ELO 1733
0-3Final setsJadczyk won
MJMarcin Jadczyk
🇵🇱Marcin Jadczyk
ELO 1822
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jadczyk at 57%. The actual result was Marcin Jadczyk 0-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marcin Jadczyk favoured — closing 1.42
Favourite won
Total 73.5
55 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marcin Jadczyk −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Marcin Jadczyk −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Krzysztof Wloczko is favoured to win, below means Marcin Jadczyk.

▲ Krzysztof Wloczkopre 39% → final 4%
Marcin Jadczyk ▼
Biggest swing 46 pts54 points · 3 games