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30 Sep · 05:15 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KWKrzysztof Wloczko
🇵🇱Krzysztof Wloczko
ELO 1733
0-3Final setsMiastowski won
MMMaksymilian Miastowski
🇵🇱Maksymilian Miastowski
ELO 1773
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Miastowski at 52%. The actual result was Maksymilian Miastowski 0-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Krzysztof Wloczko favoured — closing 1.85
Upset
Total 75.5
66 points played
Under
Set handicap
Krzysztof Wloczko −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Krzysztof Wloczko −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Krzysztof Wloczko is favoured to win, below means Maksymilian Miastowski.

▲ Krzysztof Wloczkopre 44% → final 5%
Maksymilian Miastowski ▼
Biggest swing 55 ptsMiastowski recovered from 43%65 points · 3 games