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30 Sep · 08:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
AGArtur Grela
🇵🇱Artur Grela
ELO 1845
1-3Final setsMiastowski won
MMMaksymilian Miastowski
🇵🇱Maksymilian Miastowski
ELO 1773
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Grela at 61%. The actual result was Maksymilian Miastowski 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Artur Grela favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 75.5
77 points played
Over
Set handicap
Artur Grela −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Artur Grela −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Artur Grela is favoured to win, below means Maksymilian Miastowski.

▲ Artur Grelapre 58% → final 6%
Maksymilian Miastowski ▼
Biggest swing 77 ptsMiastowski recovered from 20%72 points · 4 games