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30 Sep · 07:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PDPetr David
🇵🇱Petr David
ELO 1889
3-2Final setsDavid won
MMMaksymilian Miastowski
🇵🇱Maksymilian Miastowski
ELO 1773
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured David at 62%. The actual result was Petr David 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Petr David favoured — closing 1.52
Favourite won
Total 76.5
100 points played
Over
Set handicap
Petr David −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Petr David −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.35
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Petr David is favoured to win, below means Maksymilian Miastowski.

▲ Petr Davidpre 66% → final 98%
Maksymilian Miastowski ▼
Biggest swing 58 ptsDavid recovered from 41%72 points · 5 games