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DeuceLab
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← TT Elite Series predictions
30 Sep · 12:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MJMarcin Jadczyk
🇵🇱Marcin Jadczyk
ELO 1822
2-3Final setsKuzmicz won
JKJakub Kuzmicz
🇵🇱Jakub Kuzmicz
ELO 1796
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jadczyk at 53%. The actual result was Jakub Kuzmicz 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marcin Jadczyk favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 74.5
88 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marcin Jadczyk −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marcin Jadczyk −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Jadczyk is favoured to win, below means Jakub Kuzmicz.

▲ Marcin Jadczykpre 50% → final 11%
Jakub Kuzmicz ▼
Biggest swing 69 ptsKuzmicz recovered from 20%72 points · 5 games