30 Sep · 04:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
AG
🇵🇱Artur Grela
ELO 1845
3-1Final setsGrela won
PD
🇵🇱Petr David
ELO 1889
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured David at 55%. The actual result was Artur Grela 3-1 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Petr David favoured — closing 1.4
Total 74.5
87 points played
Set handicap
Petr David −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Petr David −5.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Artur Grela is favoured to win, below means Petr David.
▲ Artur Grelapre 41% → final 88%
Petr David ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsGrela recovered from 27%72 points · 4 games