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30 Sep · 04:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MJMarcin Jadczyk
🇵🇱Marcin Jadczyk
ELO 1822
0-3Final setsMiastowski won
MMMaksymilian Miastowski
🇵🇱Maksymilian Miastowski
ELO 1773
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jadczyk at 56%. The actual result was Maksymilian Miastowski 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marcin Jadczyk favoured — closing 1.55
Upset
Total 76.5
55 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marcin Jadczyk −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marcin Jadczyk −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Jadczyk is favoured to win, below means Maksymilian Miastowski.

▲ Marcin Jadczykpre 53% → final 1%
Maksymilian Miastowski ▼
Biggest swing 65 ptsMiastowski recovered from 34%54 points · 3 games