30 Sept · 16:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AG
🇵🇱Artur Grela
ELO 1845
FormLLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Grela
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kuzmicz
ELO 1796
FormWWLWW
55%
45%
🌟Kuzmicz covers set handicap as underdog 72% (137)
Fair odds · Grela
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.63· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+49
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)