30 Sept · 16:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PP
🇵🇱Piotr Przewlocki
ELO 1452
FormWLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Jadach
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1497
FormWWLLL
45%
55%
🌟Przewlocki goes over total as underdog 66% (137)
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+45
H2H15-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-3)