30 Sept · 15:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1497
FormWWLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Brozek
PB
🇵🇱Piotr Brozek
ELO 1583
FormWLWWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Brozek
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 50% · 2.02· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+86
H2H6-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-1)