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30 Sep · 09:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PDPetr David
🇵🇱Petr David
ELO 1889
3-1Final setsDavid won
MJMarcin Jadczyk
🇵🇱Marcin Jadczyk
ELO 1822
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured David at 59%. The actual result was Petr David 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Petr David favoured — closing 1.5
Favourite won
Total 74.5
76 points played
Over
Set handicap
Petr David −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Petr David −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.2
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Petr David is favoured to win, below means Marcin Jadczyk.

▲ Petr Davidpre 56% → final 7%
Marcin Jadczyk ▼
Biggest swing 66 ptsJadczyk recovered from 27%72 points · 4 games