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30 Sep · 03:50 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KKKamil Kowalski
🇵🇱Kamil Kowalski
ELO 1194
3-1Final setsKowalski won
PPPiotr Przewlocki
🇵🇱Piotr Przewlocki
ELO 1452
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Przewlocki at 74%. The actual result was Kamil Kowalski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Piotr Przewlocki favoured — closing 1.14
Upset
Total 70.5
69 points played
Under
Set handicap
Piotr Przewlocki −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Piotr Przewlocki −9.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kamil Kowalski is favoured to win, below means Piotr Przewlocki.

▲ Kamil Kowalskipre 21% → final 96%
Piotr Przewlocki ▼
Biggest swing 81 ptsKowalski recovered from 17%68 points · 4 games