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30 Sep · 11:50 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PPPiotr Przewlocki
🇵🇱Piotr Przewlocki
ELO 1452
3-1Final setsPrzewlocki won
KKKamil Kowalski
🇵🇱Kamil Kowalski
ELO 1194
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Przewlocki at 76%. The actual result was Piotr Przewlocki 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Piotr Przewlocki favoured — closing 1.14
Favourite won
Total 70.5
91 points played
Over
Set handicap
Piotr Przewlocki −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Piotr Przewlocki −9.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
2.6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Piotr Przewlocki is favoured to win, below means Kamil Kowalski.

▲ Piotr Przewlockipre 80% → final 4%
Kamil Kowalski ▼
Biggest swing 83 ptsKowalski recovered from 15%68 points · 4 games